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Medical Decision Making
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The Cost-Effectiveness of Fluconazole Prophylaxis against Primary Systemic Fungal Infections in AIDS Patients

Julie A. Scharfstein, ScD, MSc

A. David Paltiel, PhD

Kenneth A. Freedberg, MD, MSc

Objective. To project the cost-effectiveness of fluconazole for prophylaxis against AIDS-related primary systemic fungal infections. Design. A Markov model with data from the literature. Patients. Hypothetical cohort of 100,000 AIDS patients. Intervention. No prophylaxis, and fluconazole prophylaxis beginning when a patient's CD4 count declined to below 200/mm3, below 100/mm 3, or below 50/mm3. Results. The no-pro phylaxis policy was associated with a discounted life expectancy of 28.20 months and direct medical costs of $36,100 per person. The <200/mm3 strategy increased costs to $40,500 and life expectancy to 28.42 months, producing a ratio of $240,000 per year of life saved (YLS). Compared with the no-prophylaxis and <200/mm3 policies, the intermediate alternatives were less economically efficient. A reduction in flucona zole's cost from $206 to $80 decreased the ratio to $50,000 for the <200/mm3 strategy. Doubling fungal infection incidence lowered this ratio to $96,000/YLS. Conclusions. Fluconazole prophylaxis is unlikely to be cost-effective unless its cost is lowered, or it is focused on patients in regions endemic for fungal infections. Key words: fluconazole; prophylaxis; AIDS; cost-effectiveness; Markov model. (Med Decis Making 1997;17: 373-381)

Medical Decision Making, Vol. 17, No. 4, 373-381 (1997)
DOI: 10.1177/0272989X9701700402


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