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Primer on Medical Decision Analysis: Part 1—Getting Started

Address correspondence and reprint requests to Dr. Detsky. EN G-246, General Division, The Toronto Hospital, 200 Elizabeth Street, Toronto, ON M5G 2C4, Canada e-mail. (detsky@utstat. toronto.edu

Gary Naglie, MD

Murray D. Krahn, MD, MSc

David Naimark, MD

Donald A. Redelmeier

This paper is Part 1 of a five-part series covering practical issues in the performance of decision analysis. The intended audience is individuals who are learning how to perform decision analyses, not just read them. The series assumes familiarity with the basic concepts of decision analysis. It imparts many of the recommendations the authors have learned in teaching a one-semester course in decision analysis to graduate students. Part 1 introduces the topic and covers questions such as choosing an appropriate question, determining the tradeoff between accuracy and simplicity, and deciding on a time frame. Key words: decision analysis; expected value; utility; sensitivity analysis; decision trees; probability. (Med Decis Making 1997;17:123-125)

Medical Decision Making, Vol. 17, No. 2, 123-125 (1997)
DOI: 10.1177/0272989X9701700201


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